31.07.2008

Kumanovo FK - Omonia 3.10 3.20 2.01 31.07.2008 - 17:00

omonoia are going as every year for the 2nd win in 1st qualifying round(as they usually do) to boost cyprus coefficent in europe..that was the statement of omonoias president and coach.. but to clarify things..omonoias has never ever quailified to a 3rd stage round that is why i see them a lot more passionate and focused this year .. in order to do that omonoia board have doubled their budget to 8m euros buying some excellent players like okkas(ex osfp aek athens celta player)-cleyton cruz(ex porto)-anton zlogar(slovenian international)-stathis aloneftis (ex larissa and cottbus)-fernando aguirre(ex st gallen) -striker nicolusku(duisburg),moustafa bakura(excellent prospect from salamina 24 years old liberian-->monaco scouters were watching him and made a very small proposal that salamina refused another small note..omonoia have already sold 6500 season tickets.

MY PICK 2


-APOEL - Pelister Bitola 1.28 4.30 8.61 31.07.2008 - 19:00

things are starting to get better offensively .. with the likes of benjamin onouatsi signing 1 year loan from ionikos 200k and option for apoel next summer 400k making him the most expensive transfer in the history of the club..if we buy him afterwards..ofcourse.. Apoel will have striker Zewlakow injured(i know already) and the likes of Andreas Papathanasiou(1st scorer 2nd division) will take his place up front... in a 4-5-1 system that when attacking becomes 4-4-3 with charalampides and paulista and now available javi pinto/kosowski(now that his blue card arrived after 3 weeks of waiting) attacking. Watching 1st match i realised that pelister lacks important quality to compete in this match(maybe except the two brazilians)and that they have a solid defence and an excellent keeper(nikov) pulling out some very good saves.At home pelister create only one chance from a tragic mistake of defender of apoel.Considering also the extreme heat that is on the island .. and that my team will have the support of 8000-10000 fans i see very few chances in pelister pulling something out from here.Imagine they were playing at home and they couldnt make a single organised attack movement..now playing away they will put a bus of players in front of the goalie to try and preserve the clean sheet..but Under normal circumstances apoel playing in their big ground that has an excellent pitch(in contrast with skopja ) will play faster and i think a valuable win is on its way..possible 2-0 3-0 are the ideal scores Ideal bet is number of goals 2-3 in local bookie paying 1.9.. A win for apoel will vary from 1.2 to a max of 1.35 in my opinion.. anything above will be considered valuable for high stakers and should be taken at all costs..--> as i was saying with ventspills match will llianeli at the thread !! ..My idea is to get some money from my savings account like 500 euros or something and play a combo apoel and omonoia and make some quick big bucks..as at local bookie if you bet at a cypriot team it is compulsory to bet on other 3 european teams making it a 4fold or 5fold to limit the chances of you winning and to limit the chances of fixed games as there were scandals before cypriot players betting against their own team ...

-Pellister is at least 2 classes below APOEL. I am an OMONOIA fan, which means that I hate APOEL, so my opinion is not biased or sth. APOEL showed from the first game that they are a much better team. They could win easily that game, but call it luck, call it focus, call it underestimation, they didn't score so they didn't win. I dont even remember a real threat from Pellister in the first game. APOEL will win easily tomorrow, and this is a QUARRANTY. 2-0, 3-0, 4-0 are the ONLY possible scores imo and everything depends on the time of the first goal. Yes, APOEL misses some players but they didnt have them either in first game. Apoel's coach was furious with his players after the 1st game and I expect players of APOEL to make him proud tomorrow. And don't underestimate the fans of APOEL. It will be a HELL for Pelister. PS. As for the hotel, yes, they will sleep in Limasol and that was their decision! U see, there is no sea in the centre of Nicosia and the temperature is about 40 C!

MY PICK 1


Birkirkara Luxol - Hajduk 6.30 4.02 1.37 31.07.2008 - 20:30

-Change of plans, coach Vučević announced that he will rest most of his first team players. Vučević is announcing another win. Hajduk's first eleven in Split: Subašić - Strinić, J. Buljat, Pandža, Rubil - Linić, Živković, Gabrić, Ibričić - Kalinić, Bušić Hajduk's first eleven for tomorrow's match: Tomić – M. Buljat, J. Buljat, Maloča, Strinić – Rubil, Linić, Tičinović, Gabrić – Bartolović, Oremuš

-Tomić - good GK, last season from 1st team player he became a reserve GK because club board was favouring young & inexperienced Varvodić over him. And Varvodić showed nothing... M. Buljat - newest addition to the team, came from Dinamo Zagreb and plays as right back position and basically he should become 1st team player because Hajduk has no alternative on that position. In 1st leg Rubil played on that spot but he is naturally a midfielder. J. Buljat - solid defender, played in 1st leg. Maloča - young & talented, played regularly in the spring part of last season. Strinić - another young player, new one, so far a good addition to the team. Rubil - regular player, plays good lately. Linić - same as Rubil. Tičinović - 16 y/o kid, big talent, should replace playmaker Ibričić tomorrow, scored a goal in 1st leg. Gabrić - regular player, not good lately. Does the job, but you can't see him on the field. Bartolović - reserve attacker, experienced, best player of Hajduk two seasons ago. Oremuš - winger, inexperienced, due to lack of attackers will play in attack. If Hajduk doesn't relax & won't fool arond on the field I don't see how could Birkirkara threat them. In Split they had only one shot towards Hajduk's goal and that one went wide. They hardly even crossed the center. IMO, this team should be too much for Birkirkara.

MY PICK X2


Thorshavn B36 - Brondby 7.00 4.17 1.30 31.07.2008 - 19:30

-the first match was brondbys first this season. It was ugly and the brøndby play was not really working, that has changed in the 2 league matches where they have beaten 2 of the top contenders for the Danish championship. The attackers still cannot score goals, but the defence and midfielders are scoreing the goals. Only tricky part is that they are gonna play on 3 generation astroturf, but as the Brøndby coach said, "its the same as we have on our winter training ground". So even though i missed ALL of the Danish league matches this weekend, this game is a sure win for Brøndby. By how much i wont guess on. But i think that Brøndby will keep a clean sheat

MY PICK 2


Zestafoni FC - Győr 2.36 3.15 3.04 31.07.2008 - 15:00

-Of course Zestafoni is not a grand of european football, but 2,5 for home win??? wow, very tasty. Zestafoni is not stronger than last year, but prevoius game showed than even not weaker. For me Georgian side is "underrated" a lot. First of all let's remember, that Hungarians were not as strong as estimated and in Georgia their chances will dicrease. Home side as usual plays in front of full stadium, this club is strongest at home in Georgia. Their mentality is very high now. All tickets sold out waiting for a successfull end of this round. For me the fair odd for homewin is not more than 1,9-2,0 so, i advice to take everything at 2,1 or more.... BET365 has 2,5 now This odds should be fair for another georgian team - WitGeorgia ... in another topic about that club. good luck.

MY PICK 1 (0:0) asian handicap


2008-07-31 B36 Torshavn - Brondby

UEFA cup qual. 2nd leg
1st leg: Brondby - B36 Torshavn 1-0
I see quite a bit of value in these odds. Brondby did rather bad in the first leg where they struggled to win by the smallest margin. This is why I believe Brondby will win much more comfortably this time:
1. The first leg was Brondbys first match of the season while Torshavn were already well into the Faroese league. Since then Brondby have shown great form in the domestic league by winning 2 matches. At the same time there has been a match break in the Faroese league, so Torshavn have actually not played a competetive match since they faced Brondby 14 days ago! Brondbys form will have improved drastically and they should easily outplay Torshavn.
2. Brondby brought all their first team players for the match. I am sure they plan to play with maximum intensity in the first half and be sure to lead by 2 or 3 goals, which will enable them to lay off a bit in the 2nd half. We must also remember that Torshavn cannot allow themselves to act extremely defensively; they are 1-0 down from the first leg and must try to play with some aggression. This means that Brondby will be able to apply counter attacks which is one of their prominent qualities as a team.
3. The pitch seems to be excellent. They will play the game on artificial grass so the pitch should not become an obstacle for the Danish team, as one might have feared because of the sometimes difficult weather conditions on the Faroe Islands.

MY PICK 2/2, Odds: 1.91