Thursday, July 31, 2008
31.07.2008
Kumanovo FK - Omonia 3.10 3.20 2.01 31.07.2008 - 17:00
omonoia are going as every year for the 2nd win in 1st qualifying round(as they usually do) to boost cyprus coefficent in europe..that was the statement of omonoias president and coach.. but to clarify things..omonoias has never ever quailified to a 3rd stage round that is why i see them a lot more passionate and focused this year .. in order to do that omonoia board have doubled their budget to 8m euros buying some excellent players like okkas(ex osfp aek athens celta player)-cleyton cruz(ex porto)-anton zlogar(slovenian international)-stathis aloneftis (ex larissa and cottbus)-fernando aguirre(ex st gallen) -striker nicolusku(duisburg),moustafa bakura(excellent prospect from salamina 24 years old liberian-->monaco scouters were watching him and made a very small proposal that salamina refused another small note..omonoia have already sold 6500 season tickets.
MY PICK 2
-APOEL - Pelister Bitola 1.28 4.30 8.61 31.07.2008 - 19:00
things are starting to get better offensively .. with the likes of benjamin onouatsi signing 1 year loan from ionikos 200k and option for apoel next summer 400k making him the most expensive transfer in the history of the club..if we buy him afterwards..ofcourse.. Apoel will have striker Zewlakow injured(i know already) and the likes of Andreas Papathanasiou(1st scorer 2nd division) will take his place up front... in a 4-5-1 system that when attacking becomes 4-4-3 with charalampides and paulista and now available javi pinto/kosowski(now that his blue card arrived after 3 weeks of waiting) attacking. Watching 1st match i realised that pelister lacks important quality to compete in this match(maybe except the two brazilians)and that they have a solid defence and an excellent keeper(nikov) pulling out some very good saves.At home pelister create only one chance from a tragic mistake of defender of apoel.Considering also the extreme heat that is on the island .. and that my team will have the support of 8000-10000 fans i see very few chances in pelister pulling something out from here.Imagine they were playing at home and they couldnt make a single organised attack movement..now playing away they will put a bus of players in front of the goalie to try and preserve the clean sheet..but Under normal circumstances apoel playing in their big ground that has an excellent pitch(in contrast with skopja ) will play faster and i think a valuable win is on its way..possible 2-0 3-0 are the ideal scores Ideal bet is number of goals 2-3 in local bookie paying 1.9.. A win for apoel will vary from 1.2 to a max of 1.35 in my opinion.. anything above will be considered valuable for high stakers and should be taken at all costs..--> as i was saying with ventspills match will llianeli at the thread !! ..My idea is to get some money from my savings account like 500 euros or something and play a combo apoel and omonoia and make some quick big bucks..as at local bookie if you bet at a cypriot team it is compulsory to bet on other 3 european teams making it a 4fold or 5fold to limit the chances of you winning and to limit the chances of fixed games as there were scandals before cypriot players betting against their own team ...
-Pellister is at least 2 classes below APOEL. I am an OMONOIA fan, which means that I hate APOEL, so my opinion is not biased or sth. APOEL showed from the first game that they are a much better team. They could win easily that game, but call it luck, call it focus, call it underestimation, they didn't score so they didn't win. I dont even remember a real threat from Pellister in the first game. APOEL will win easily tomorrow, and this is a QUARRANTY. 2-0, 3-0, 4-0 are the ONLY possible scores imo and everything depends on the time of the first goal. Yes, APOEL misses some players but they didnt have them either in first game. Apoel's coach was furious with his players after the 1st game and I expect players of APOEL to make him proud tomorrow. And don't underestimate the fans of APOEL. It will be a HELL for Pelister. PS. As for the hotel, yes, they will sleep in Limasol and that was their decision! U see, there is no sea in the centre of Nicosia and the temperature is about 40 C!
MY PICK 1
Birkirkara Luxol - Hajduk 6.30 4.02 1.37 31.07.2008 - 20:30
-Change of plans, coach Vučević announced that he will rest most of his first team players. Vučević is announcing another win. Hajduk's first eleven in Split: Subašić - Strinić, J. Buljat, Pandža, Rubil - Linić, Živković, Gabrić, Ibričić - Kalinić, Bušić Hajduk's first eleven for tomorrow's match: Tomić – M. Buljat, J. Buljat, Maloča, Strinić – Rubil, Linić, Tičinović, Gabrić – Bartolović, Oremuš
-Tomić - good GK, last season from 1st team player he became a reserve GK because club board was favouring young & inexperienced Varvodić over him. And Varvodić showed nothing... M. Buljat - newest addition to the team, came from Dinamo Zagreb and plays as right back position and basically he should become 1st team player because Hajduk has no alternative on that position. In 1st leg Rubil played on that spot but he is naturally a midfielder. J. Buljat - solid defender, played in 1st leg. Maloča - young & talented, played regularly in the spring part of last season. Strinić - another young player, new one, so far a good addition to the team. Rubil - regular player, plays good lately. Linić - same as Rubil. Tičinović - 16 y/o kid, big talent, should replace playmaker Ibričić tomorrow, scored a goal in 1st leg. Gabrić - regular player, not good lately. Does the job, but you can't see him on the field. Bartolović - reserve attacker, experienced, best player of Hajduk two seasons ago. Oremuš - winger, inexperienced, due to lack of attackers will play in attack. If Hajduk doesn't relax & won't fool arond on the field I don't see how could Birkirkara threat them. In Split they had only one shot towards Hajduk's goal and that one went wide. They hardly even crossed the center. IMO, this team should be too much for Birkirkara.
MY PICK X2
Thorshavn B36 - Brondby 7.00 4.17 1.30 31.07.2008 - 19:30
-the first match was brondbys first this season. It was ugly and the brøndby play was not really working, that has changed in the 2 league matches where they have beaten 2 of the top contenders for the Danish championship. The attackers still cannot score goals, but the defence and midfielders are scoreing the goals. Only tricky part is that they are gonna play on 3 generation astroturf, but as the Brøndby coach said, "its the same as we have on our winter training ground". So even though i missed ALL of the Danish league matches this weekend, this game is a sure win for Brøndby. By how much i wont guess on. But i think that Brøndby will keep a clean sheat
MY PICK 2
Zestafoni FC - Győr 2.36 3.15 3.04 31.07.2008 - 15:00
-Of course Zestafoni is not a grand of european football, but 2,5 for home win??? wow, very tasty. Zestafoni is not stronger than last year, but prevoius game showed than even not weaker. For me Georgian side is "underrated" a lot. First of all let's remember, that Hungarians were not as strong as estimated and in Georgia their chances will dicrease. Home side as usual plays in front of full stadium, this club is strongest at home in Georgia. Their mentality is very high now. All tickets sold out waiting for a successfull end of this round. For me the fair odd for homewin is not more than 1,9-2,0 so, i advice to take everything at 2,1 or more.... BET365 has 2,5 now This odds should be fair for another georgian team - WitGeorgia ... in another topic about that club. good luck.
MY PICK 1 (0:0) asian handicap
2008-07-31 B36 Torshavn - Brondby
UEFA cup qual. 2nd leg
1st leg: Brondby - B36 Torshavn 1-0
I see quite a bit of value in these odds. Brondby did rather bad in the first leg where they struggled to win by the smallest margin. This is why I believe Brondby will win much more comfortably this time:
1. The first leg was Brondbys first match of the season while Torshavn were already well into the Faroese league. Since then Brondby have shown great form in the domestic league by winning 2 matches. At the same time there has been a match break in the Faroese league, so Torshavn have actually not played a competetive match since they faced Brondby 14 days ago! Brondbys form will have improved drastically and they should easily outplay Torshavn.
2. Brondby brought all their first team players for the match. I am sure they plan to play with maximum intensity in the first half and be sure to lead by 2 or 3 goals, which will enable them to lay off a bit in the 2nd half. We must also remember that Torshavn cannot allow themselves to act extremely defensively; they are 1-0 down from the first leg and must try to play with some aggression. This means that Brondby will be able to apply counter attacks which is one of their prominent qualities as a team.
3. The pitch seems to be excellent. They will play the game on artificial grass so the pitch should not become an obstacle for the Danish team, as one might have feared because of the sometimes difficult weather conditions on the Faroe Islands.
MY PICK 2/2, Odds: 1.91
omonoia are going as every year for the 2nd win in 1st qualifying round(as they usually do) to boost cyprus coefficent in europe..that was the statement of omonoias president and coach.. but to clarify things..omonoias has never ever quailified to a 3rd stage round that is why i see them a lot more passionate and focused this year .. in order to do that omonoia board have doubled their budget to 8m euros buying some excellent players like okkas(ex osfp aek athens celta player)-cleyton cruz(ex porto)-anton zlogar(slovenian international)-stathis aloneftis (ex larissa and cottbus)-fernando aguirre(ex st gallen) -striker nicolusku(duisburg),moustafa bakura(excellent prospect from salamina 24 years old liberian-->monaco scouters were watching him and made a very small proposal that salamina refused another small note..omonoia have already sold 6500 season tickets.
MY PICK 2
-APOEL - Pelister Bitola 1.28 4.30 8.61 31.07.2008 - 19:00
things are starting to get better offensively .. with the likes of benjamin onouatsi signing 1 year loan from ionikos 200k and option for apoel next summer 400k making him the most expensive transfer in the history of the club..if we buy him afterwards..ofcourse.. Apoel will have striker Zewlakow injured(i know already) and the likes of Andreas Papathanasiou(1st scorer 2nd division) will take his place up front... in a 4-5-1 system that when attacking becomes 4-4-3 with charalampides and paulista and now available javi pinto/kosowski(now that his blue card arrived after 3 weeks of waiting) attacking. Watching 1st match i realised that pelister lacks important quality to compete in this match(maybe except the two brazilians)and that they have a solid defence and an excellent keeper(nikov) pulling out some very good saves.At home pelister create only one chance from a tragic mistake of defender of apoel.Considering also the extreme heat that is on the island .. and that my team will have the support of 8000-10000 fans i see very few chances in pelister pulling something out from here.Imagine they were playing at home and they couldnt make a single organised attack movement..now playing away they will put a bus of players in front of the goalie to try and preserve the clean sheet..but Under normal circumstances apoel playing in their big ground that has an excellent pitch(in contrast with skopja ) will play faster and i think a valuable win is on its way..possible 2-0 3-0 are the ideal scores Ideal bet is number of goals 2-3 in local bookie paying 1.9.. A win for apoel will vary from 1.2 to a max of 1.35 in my opinion.. anything above will be considered valuable for high stakers and should be taken at all costs..--> as i was saying with ventspills match will llianeli at the thread !! ..My idea is to get some money from my savings account like 500 euros or something and play a combo apoel and omonoia and make some quick big bucks..as at local bookie if you bet at a cypriot team it is compulsory to bet on other 3 european teams making it a 4fold or 5fold to limit the chances of you winning and to limit the chances of fixed games as there were scandals before cypriot players betting against their own team ...
-Pellister is at least 2 classes below APOEL. I am an OMONOIA fan, which means that I hate APOEL, so my opinion is not biased or sth. APOEL showed from the first game that they are a much better team. They could win easily that game, but call it luck, call it focus, call it underestimation, they didn't score so they didn't win. I dont even remember a real threat from Pellister in the first game. APOEL will win easily tomorrow, and this is a QUARRANTY. 2-0, 3-0, 4-0 are the ONLY possible scores imo and everything depends on the time of the first goal. Yes, APOEL misses some players but they didnt have them either in first game. Apoel's coach was furious with his players after the 1st game and I expect players of APOEL to make him proud tomorrow. And don't underestimate the fans of APOEL. It will be a HELL for Pelister. PS. As for the hotel, yes, they will sleep in Limasol and that was their decision! U see, there is no sea in the centre of Nicosia and the temperature is about 40 C!
MY PICK 1
Birkirkara Luxol - Hajduk 6.30 4.02 1.37 31.07.2008 - 20:30
-Change of plans, coach Vučević announced that he will rest most of his first team players. Vučević is announcing another win. Hajduk's first eleven in Split: Subašić - Strinić, J. Buljat, Pandža, Rubil - Linić, Živković, Gabrić, Ibričić - Kalinić, Bušić Hajduk's first eleven for tomorrow's match: Tomić – M. Buljat, J. Buljat, Maloča, Strinić – Rubil, Linić, Tičinović, Gabrić – Bartolović, Oremuš
-Tomić - good GK, last season from 1st team player he became a reserve GK because club board was favouring young & inexperienced Varvodić over him. And Varvodić showed nothing... M. Buljat - newest addition to the team, came from Dinamo Zagreb and plays as right back position and basically he should become 1st team player because Hajduk has no alternative on that position. In 1st leg Rubil played on that spot but he is naturally a midfielder. J. Buljat - solid defender, played in 1st leg. Maloča - young & talented, played regularly in the spring part of last season. Strinić - another young player, new one, so far a good addition to the team. Rubil - regular player, plays good lately. Linić - same as Rubil. Tičinović - 16 y/o kid, big talent, should replace playmaker Ibričić tomorrow, scored a goal in 1st leg. Gabrić - regular player, not good lately. Does the job, but you can't see him on the field. Bartolović - reserve attacker, experienced, best player of Hajduk two seasons ago. Oremuš - winger, inexperienced, due to lack of attackers will play in attack. If Hajduk doesn't relax & won't fool arond on the field I don't see how could Birkirkara threat them. In Split they had only one shot towards Hajduk's goal and that one went wide. They hardly even crossed the center. IMO, this team should be too much for Birkirkara.
MY PICK X2
Thorshavn B36 - Brondby 7.00 4.17 1.30 31.07.2008 - 19:30
-the first match was brondbys first this season. It was ugly and the brøndby play was not really working, that has changed in the 2 league matches where they have beaten 2 of the top contenders for the Danish championship. The attackers still cannot score goals, but the defence and midfielders are scoreing the goals. Only tricky part is that they are gonna play on 3 generation astroturf, but as the Brøndby coach said, "its the same as we have on our winter training ground". So even though i missed ALL of the Danish league matches this weekend, this game is a sure win for Brøndby. By how much i wont guess on. But i think that Brøndby will keep a clean sheat
MY PICK 2
Zestafoni FC - Győr 2.36 3.15 3.04 31.07.2008 - 15:00
-Of course Zestafoni is not a grand of european football, but 2,5 for home win??? wow, very tasty. Zestafoni is not stronger than last year, but prevoius game showed than even not weaker. For me Georgian side is "underrated" a lot. First of all let's remember, that Hungarians were not as strong as estimated and in Georgia their chances will dicrease. Home side as usual plays in front of full stadium, this club is strongest at home in Georgia. Their mentality is very high now. All tickets sold out waiting for a successfull end of this round. For me the fair odd for homewin is not more than 1,9-2,0 so, i advice to take everything at 2,1 or more.... BET365 has 2,5 now This odds should be fair for another georgian team - WitGeorgia ... in another topic about that club. good luck.
MY PICK 1 (0:0) asian handicap
2008-07-31 B36 Torshavn - Brondby
UEFA cup qual. 2nd leg
1st leg: Brondby - B36 Torshavn 1-0
I see quite a bit of value in these odds. Brondby did rather bad in the first leg where they struggled to win by the smallest margin. This is why I believe Brondby will win much more comfortably this time:
1. The first leg was Brondbys first match of the season while Torshavn were already well into the Faroese league. Since then Brondby have shown great form in the domestic league by winning 2 matches. At the same time there has been a match break in the Faroese league, so Torshavn have actually not played a competetive match since they faced Brondby 14 days ago! Brondbys form will have improved drastically and they should easily outplay Torshavn.
2. Brondby brought all their first team players for the match. I am sure they plan to play with maximum intensity in the first half and be sure to lead by 2 or 3 goals, which will enable them to lay off a bit in the 2nd half. We must also remember that Torshavn cannot allow themselves to act extremely defensively; they are 1-0 down from the first leg and must try to play with some aggression. This means that Brondby will be able to apply counter attacks which is one of their prominent qualities as a team.
3. The pitch seems to be excellent. They will play the game on artificial grass so the pitch should not become an obstacle for the Danish team, as one might have feared because of the sometimes difficult weather conditions on the Faroe Islands.
MY PICK 2/2, Odds: 1.91
Tuesday, July 29, 2008
30-31.07.2008
-Viking - Vetra 1.20 5.09 9.88 31.07.2008 - 18:00
-Everybody, who thinks to bet on this game should know that at least for now it's possible that Vetra will let Viking score a goal in the beginning of the match in order to stick to fair play rules. However, after Ostap interview I have some doubts Vetra is gonna do this, as Ostap thinks it was Viking's keepers fault. As far as I know no fresh news regarding this accident and the way to handle it so far
-It was certainly a controversial goal, and it sparked a few angry newspaper articles here in Norway. Whatever the Vetra players were saying, I dont think it was an "accident". And, the keeper had no reason to expect such a shot after a fair play throwin, even if it was 50m from goal. Still, I expect Viking to hammer Vetra, and I guess the feeling of revenge will be sweet here. But, looking beyond the psychology here, the straight facts is that Viking is probably a better team overall, and although they struggle to score, I can certainly see them scoring at least 2 Not sure Vetra can score, but ofcourse with an away goal, Viking's task is monumental. Vetra may also go out early with high pressure to try to get the away goal, and in that way tell the critics that the controversial home goal did not count for much. And, if they lose a goal in this process, they can "allow" it, know it is only fair after all. Tricky game this. Viking is made too much favourites, this bis not a 1,20 game. More like a 1,50-1,60 game.
-Viking played well until osotop scored ... Viking not a great team but *the cheaters* level with norwegian 1 division club and i expect Viking to progress having said that there are often cup bombs in norway Odds way to low unless Grefstad give us 1.60 then max stake under worth a shot if odds tasty
MY PICK 1
20:45 Domžale v Dinamo 3.44 3.29 1.98
-Domzale is still 1 class poorer and also last year dinamo play better in domzale than at home. this year i expect the same scenario. someone who think domzale will have home advantage is wrong. yes they will play on home stadium but around 350 dinamo fans(BBB) will be much lauder cos domzale dont have real fans. i read that maybe dinamo will be wihtout fans but i still think they will come and help them.
-Dinamo is very poor this year..I watch their game against Rijeka this sunday and they are very poor in attack. They beat 2:0 cause Rijeka didnt have enough energy in finish. Bosko Balaban cant score, new signings Morales,Ibanez and Sanchez are solid for Croatian first league but weak for Champions league. One good thing for Dinamo is Mandzukic, who returns(he didnt play against Rijeka (suspension)) Dinamo: -----------------------------Butina-------------------------------------- Etto---------Biscan----------Drpic--------- Mikic or Carlos Suarez------Badelj---------Chago----------Morales ------------Balaban or Tadic----------Mandzukic---------------------------- Domzale are poor too. They play only 2:2 last game and their best attacker Benko is very doubtful. Dinamo beat them 2:1 last time when they play in Champions league but with Modric(Tottenham), Vukojevic(Dynamo Kiev) and Pokrivac(Monaco)
For me---- 1. half x
-you forgot to mention that dinamo signed hrgovic who will solve problems on left side. but hrgobic has many problems with dinamo fans because he was former hajduk player. but he brings a lot of quality on dinamo rights side in defence. ok dinamo is pooorer than last year but morales showed some skills. give him some weeks to adopt ti dinamos playing style. biggest fact for betting on dinamo is that slovenian team lost many key players. i think thats the biggest fact.
-DInamo didnt show much against Rijeka and especially against Linfield, but still I see much potential in the team. Hrgovic is great addition as well as Morales who had 2 brilliant assists against Rijeka. I believe Dinamo should show class diference and win it 1 or 2-0
-Balaban will miss tomorrow match, I think makes Dinamo much more dangerous and flexible in play.Etto maybe will be on bench!
MY PICK x2
Aalborg - Modrica 1.31 4.36 7.53 30.07.2008 - 20:00
-Aalborg starts danish superleague with 2 lose and their squad do not impress not one name who is familiar to us outside of Danmark. I first thougt it will be 100 % safe to play against Modrica in second round but for 1.30 it is not worth risk I think.. Modrica won 2 games against albanian champ and it shows they are not pushovers. Bosnian champs has made good results in second rounds almost every year and similar game to this one is Lillestrom Norway against Zeljeznicar Bosnia Lillestrom big favourite at home and lose 0-1 or Genk Belgieum- Sarajevo Bosnia last year 1-2 Genk and Lillestrom was big favourites 1.25 or something and I suppose Aalborg plays similar to these teams. Modrica has nothing to lose, it will not suprise me if they are technical better side then Aalborg. If it was Brondby or FC Kopenhagen banker but Aalborg at the moment do not produce anything good and will have hard time to score and if the score is 0-0 after 70 minutes I really do not think Aalborg will push to much because they know even 0-0 is good result because they are better side and in Bosnia they will not play on some hot stadium because Modrica do not have own stadium which please UEFA so they will play in Zenica stadium of 20 000 capacity and there will be 2000- 3000 spectators there because Modrica is small village and people in Zenica do not care about Modrica. Aalborg will probably win this one with 1-0 but I do not think 1.30 is worth risk if someone do not come with some speciell info.
-Well Aalborg are rightly set favorites. They had a decent game against Brøndby playing at their stadium. Scandinavian teams aren't world beaters, and don't cause much threat , because they lack some technically gifted players in the team, but they can expose well of their aerial abilities, which usually help them a lot (all 3 goals in Brøndby-AaB where scored after set pieces, by head). The line-up should look the same like this weekend. AaB (4-2-3-1): Karim Zaza, Kasper Bøgelund, Steve Olfers, Michael Jakobsen, Lasse Nielsen, Thomas Augustinussen, Andreas Johansson, Caca, Jeppe Curth, Anders Due, Simon Bræmer (59: Patrick Kristensen). Though they should shift to 4-4-2 this time, with Kristensen and Bræmer making the duo.
MY PICK 1 (or fixed)
Tampere Utd - Artmedia 2.13 3.01 2.71 30.07.2008 - 18:00
-Tampere is missing few key players. Tomi Petrescu will miss this match for sure but also two other players might be out: defender (and the most important player of the team) Mathias Lindström and striker Jari Niemi. If Tampere is missing both these players, they will have even harder night than exptected tomorrow. Tampere coach said yesterday that their main target is not to give Artmedia any away goals and "0-0 would be very good result". He also said that they need to be patient and attacking too much will be a mistake. Weather should be tomorrow very nice, about +22 and sunny. My estimation is 35-33-32. O/U is pretty much as it should be. IMO the best bet is to find best odds for 0-0 and try that. It should be at least 13%, maybe even 15%.
-FC Artmedia Petržalka Injured: Dosoudil, Ďurica, Mikulič (all 3 stayed in Bratislava) Doubtful: Pospěch Probable line-up: Kamenár Čišovský, Burák, Pavol Farkaš, Szabó Saláta, Pedro Anderson Piroska, J. Kozák ml., Fodrek (Cléber Nascimento) Halenár (Oravec)
MY PICK 1(0:0) asian handicap
Panathinaikos - Dynamo Tbilisi 1.12 7.00 13.69 30.07.2008 - 20:45
-seems like obvious who is the boss in the match. Panathinaikos spend much money in summer, signed talented player from PAOK, Gilberto Silva, two brazilians etc, Ten Kate like coach. No serious problems for Panathinaikos inhere, president of team keep some pecuniary aid to Dinamo if something goes wrong
-Dynamo has no chance to win/draw this match. But odds are worthless. Most probably, Panatinaikos will finish the job in the first match, and for this goals are needed. I think, over is most appropriate for this event.
-With no doubt Pana is much better team than Dinamo. Last friendly match of pana was in Athens agains Charleroi. The game ended 5-1. Even it is the first official game for the Greek team i cannot believe that it will be a surprise. The odds are quite low so a handicap bet is much better.
-To sum up a little From new signings,Gilberto Silva,Rodrigo Souza and Cleyton Silva won't play surely.Gilberto is not ready,Rodrigo Souza comes tomorrow in Athens and Cleyton Silva is out of squad for the match against Dinamo Tblisi.These absences are not important at this time,because PAO has many players and this is the first official match for new season. According to Greek media : Galinovic - Gabriel,Sarriegi,Vyntra,Spyropoulos - Mattos,Simao - Ivanshitz,Karagounis,Ninis (Salpingidis) - Mantzios It's almost the same squad like friendly match vs Charleroi. About mentality now,i think that PAO won't stop in a low score,but will try to score many goals in this match.Ten Kate likes offensive football and PAO has show till now some signs of quick and attractive football. I will update when have latest news Info about Dinamo Tblisi are welcomed...
-EH (-2) @ 2.30 at Sportingbet seems to worth the shot to me. The atmosphere is fantastic for PAO and i totally agree that with Ten Kate the players of PAO are 100% motivated in every game because no one's place in starting line-up is assured. For Dinamo, losing against Faroe team speaks of itself. I was reading a story from a reporter from Faroe saying that the Georgian team went to Faroe to play full defense and used 5-4-1 formation. They didn't achieved much though as Runavik created chances. So if Dinamo went with this mentality to Faroe i assume they 'll do the same against PAO and i think with the free kicks and the creativity of Matos, Rukavina and Karagkounis PAO won't have much of a problem
-Dinamo will loose definitely. I can`t see any other outcome. They are pretty weaker than Pana. In other case Dinamo had some matches and the form is more or less ok. Dinamo will miss 2 very imortant players: Merebashvili and Akiremy. All these circumstances states just one outcome Pana to win with several goal margine. Unfortunately this is the realty for Georgian side.
MY PICK Over 2.5 or 1
Serif Tiraspol - Sparta 3.56 3.18 1.89 30.07.2008 - 19:00
-Squad: Jaromír Blažek Tomáš Grigar Matúš Kozáčik Tomáš Řepka Marián Had Štěpán Kučera Michal Kadlec Petr Voříšek Patrik Berger Jiří Kladrubský Luboš Hušek Ondřej Kušnír Kamil Vacek Miroslav Matušovič Daniel Kolář Libor Došek Miroslav Slepička Jan Holenda Jiří Jeslínek 1st goalie Blazek is injured I think, Sparta is in poor form actually, dont see good value..sparta will be satisfied with a draw in this away match...
-Sparta for 1,90 is never an attractive bet. It is not easy to play in Moldova, I expect a cautios game (under very probable) and if I see home team +0,5 1,90+, I will definitely give it a shot. Sheriff played decent games against Besiktas last year, Sparta doesnt look in a good form on the beginning of the season and has problems with scoring goals. Under is very reasonable, home team not to lose pretty likely to happen. Draw will be satisfying for Sparta for sure.
MY PICK over or 1x
Anorthosis - Rapid 2.62 2.99 2.15 30.07.2008 - 20:30
-I could make the odds more equal and with small favourite Anorthosis which play at home and needs the result. Rapid can be happy with a narrow loss if they score a goal. Dellas and Solano signed for Anorthosis, Dellas is available to play.
-I agree with both views expressed for this game. Odds are placed totally wrong and i think the market will correct itself until the game. So any odds giving Anorthosis as outsiders are valuable. I see a tight game here. I don't know much about Rapid but i think in this game it matters the most how Anorthosis wants this game to go. And throughout the experience we have with Ketsbaia in charge, Anorthosis wants a clean sheet. That's what it matters the most to them. It is even more important than winning. Rapid will be happy not to lose this one...so they will play conservative too. I also expect the humidity which is really high at this time of year in Larnaca (Around 60% at nights) to play an important role. About Ano's transfers...Dellas signed and has made 4-5 trainings with Anorthosis. He had a full preparation with AEK and is up to Ketsbaia to use him. About Solano, he hasn't even arrived in Cyprus so there is nothing to talk about him. Although early...under 8/10 and HW 5/10 are my views for this game
MY PICK 1
FC Vaslui - Steaua
-FC Vaslui is a team with poor defense ...a team with players that move very slowly . Steaua will not receive any goal in this match because in defense is very strong with national team players like : Mirel Radoi , Dorin Goian , Sorin Ghionea , Pawel Golansky . Steaua has humiliated Rome whit 3-1 , The score had to be 5-0 for Steaua because they had many occassions to mark with Roma who played with players : Cicinho , Riise , Aquilani , Taddei , Perrotta , Vucinic , Pannucci , Pizzaro ... Steaua will win and Under 2.5 , the score will be 0-1 0-2 I'm very sure
MY PICK 2
Botafogo - Goias 19 1.54 3.50 5.40 31.07.2008 - 01:30
-Goias is an interesting team.Playin ugly football,makin defence with 8 men and tryin with counter attacks.
MY PICK x2
Portuguesa - Fluminense 19 2.18 3.16 2.84 31.07.2008 - 01:30
-About Fluminense...Their defence is a joke. Washington is in great form .. He has scored 3 goals in last two weeks. I expect over 2.5 there..But I am still waiting for confirmed line ups. And Cut We can trust Sao after Miranda,Silva,Hernanes and Borges comes back..
MY PICK 3+
Vasco - Atletico-MG 1 1.90 3.15 3.70 31.07.2008 - 23:55
-About Vasco: they have a poor defense. The rest is not so bad. But things are pretty dark for them. After many many years, former Vasco dictator, rogue and corrupt Eurico Miranda was ousted. He left the club broken. The only source of income until the end of the year are the attendances, which do not cover their liabilities
MY PICK 2
-Everybody, who thinks to bet on this game should know that at least for now it's possible that Vetra will let Viking score a goal in the beginning of the match in order to stick to fair play rules. However, after Ostap interview I have some doubts Vetra is gonna do this, as Ostap thinks it was Viking's keepers fault. As far as I know no fresh news regarding this accident and the way to handle it so far
-It was certainly a controversial goal, and it sparked a few angry newspaper articles here in Norway. Whatever the Vetra players were saying, I dont think it was an "accident". And, the keeper had no reason to expect such a shot after a fair play throwin, even if it was 50m from goal. Still, I expect Viking to hammer Vetra, and I guess the feeling of revenge will be sweet here. But, looking beyond the psychology here, the straight facts is that Viking is probably a better team overall, and although they struggle to score, I can certainly see them scoring at least 2 Not sure Vetra can score, but ofcourse with an away goal, Viking's task is monumental. Vetra may also go out early with high pressure to try to get the away goal, and in that way tell the critics that the controversial home goal did not count for much. And, if they lose a goal in this process, they can "allow" it, know it is only fair after all. Tricky game this. Viking is made too much favourites, this bis not a 1,20 game. More like a 1,50-1,60 game.
-Viking played well until osotop scored ... Viking not a great team but *the cheaters* level with norwegian 1 division club and i expect Viking to progress having said that there are often cup bombs in norway Odds way to low unless Grefstad give us 1.60 then max stake under worth a shot if odds tasty
MY PICK 1
20:45 Domžale v Dinamo 3.44 3.29 1.98
-Domzale is still 1 class poorer and also last year dinamo play better in domzale than at home. this year i expect the same scenario. someone who think domzale will have home advantage is wrong. yes they will play on home stadium but around 350 dinamo fans(BBB) will be much lauder cos domzale dont have real fans. i read that maybe dinamo will be wihtout fans but i still think they will come and help them.
-Dinamo is very poor this year..I watch their game against Rijeka this sunday and they are very poor in attack. They beat 2:0 cause Rijeka didnt have enough energy in finish. Bosko Balaban cant score, new signings Morales,Ibanez and Sanchez are solid for Croatian first league but weak for Champions league. One good thing for Dinamo is Mandzukic, who returns(he didnt play against Rijeka (suspension)) Dinamo: -----------------------------Butina-------------------------------------- Etto---------Biscan----------Drpic--------- Mikic or Carlos Suarez------Badelj---------Chago----------Morales ------------Balaban or Tadic----------Mandzukic---------------------------- Domzale are poor too. They play only 2:2 last game and their best attacker Benko is very doubtful. Dinamo beat them 2:1 last time when they play in Champions league but with Modric(Tottenham), Vukojevic(Dynamo Kiev) and Pokrivac(Monaco)
For me---- 1. half x
-you forgot to mention that dinamo signed hrgovic who will solve problems on left side. but hrgobic has many problems with dinamo fans because he was former hajduk player. but he brings a lot of quality on dinamo rights side in defence. ok dinamo is pooorer than last year but morales showed some skills. give him some weeks to adopt ti dinamos playing style. biggest fact for betting on dinamo is that slovenian team lost many key players. i think thats the biggest fact.
-DInamo didnt show much against Rijeka and especially against Linfield, but still I see much potential in the team. Hrgovic is great addition as well as Morales who had 2 brilliant assists against Rijeka. I believe Dinamo should show class diference and win it 1 or 2-0
-Balaban will miss tomorrow match, I think makes Dinamo much more dangerous and flexible in play.Etto maybe will be on bench!
MY PICK x2
Aalborg - Modrica 1.31 4.36 7.53 30.07.2008 - 20:00
-Aalborg starts danish superleague with 2 lose and their squad do not impress not one name who is familiar to us outside of Danmark. I first thougt it will be 100 % safe to play against Modrica in second round but for 1.30 it is not worth risk I think.. Modrica won 2 games against albanian champ and it shows they are not pushovers. Bosnian champs has made good results in second rounds almost every year and similar game to this one is Lillestrom Norway against Zeljeznicar Bosnia Lillestrom big favourite at home and lose 0-1 or Genk Belgieum- Sarajevo Bosnia last year 1-2 Genk and Lillestrom was big favourites 1.25 or something and I suppose Aalborg plays similar to these teams. Modrica has nothing to lose, it will not suprise me if they are technical better side then Aalborg. If it was Brondby or FC Kopenhagen banker but Aalborg at the moment do not produce anything good and will have hard time to score and if the score is 0-0 after 70 minutes I really do not think Aalborg will push to much because they know even 0-0 is good result because they are better side and in Bosnia they will not play on some hot stadium because Modrica do not have own stadium which please UEFA so they will play in Zenica stadium of 20 000 capacity and there will be 2000- 3000 spectators there because Modrica is small village and people in Zenica do not care about Modrica. Aalborg will probably win this one with 1-0 but I do not think 1.30 is worth risk if someone do not come with some speciell info.
-Well Aalborg are rightly set favorites. They had a decent game against Brøndby playing at their stadium. Scandinavian teams aren't world beaters, and don't cause much threat , because they lack some technically gifted players in the team, but they can expose well of their aerial abilities, which usually help them a lot (all 3 goals in Brøndby-AaB where scored after set pieces, by head). The line-up should look the same like this weekend. AaB (4-2-3-1): Karim Zaza, Kasper Bøgelund, Steve Olfers, Michael Jakobsen, Lasse Nielsen, Thomas Augustinussen, Andreas Johansson, Caca, Jeppe Curth, Anders Due, Simon Bræmer (59: Patrick Kristensen). Though they should shift to 4-4-2 this time, with Kristensen and Bræmer making the duo.
MY PICK 1 (or fixed)
Tampere Utd - Artmedia 2.13 3.01 2.71 30.07.2008 - 18:00
-Tampere is missing few key players. Tomi Petrescu will miss this match for sure but also two other players might be out: defender (and the most important player of the team) Mathias Lindström and striker Jari Niemi. If Tampere is missing both these players, they will have even harder night than exptected tomorrow. Tampere coach said yesterday that their main target is not to give Artmedia any away goals and "0-0 would be very good result". He also said that they need to be patient and attacking too much will be a mistake. Weather should be tomorrow very nice, about +22 and sunny. My estimation is 35-33-32. O/U is pretty much as it should be. IMO the best bet is to find best odds for 0-0 and try that. It should be at least 13%, maybe even 15%.
-FC Artmedia Petržalka Injured: Dosoudil, Ďurica, Mikulič (all 3 stayed in Bratislava) Doubtful: Pospěch Probable line-up: Kamenár Čišovský, Burák, Pavol Farkaš, Szabó Saláta, Pedro Anderson Piroska, J. Kozák ml., Fodrek (Cléber Nascimento) Halenár (Oravec)
MY PICK 1(0:0) asian handicap
Panathinaikos - Dynamo Tbilisi 1.12 7.00 13.69 30.07.2008 - 20:45
-seems like obvious who is the boss in the match. Panathinaikos spend much money in summer, signed talented player from PAOK, Gilberto Silva, two brazilians etc, Ten Kate like coach. No serious problems for Panathinaikos inhere, president of team keep some pecuniary aid to Dinamo if something goes wrong
-Dynamo has no chance to win/draw this match. But odds are worthless. Most probably, Panatinaikos will finish the job in the first match, and for this goals are needed. I think, over is most appropriate for this event.
-With no doubt Pana is much better team than Dinamo. Last friendly match of pana was in Athens agains Charleroi. The game ended 5-1. Even it is the first official game for the Greek team i cannot believe that it will be a surprise. The odds are quite low so a handicap bet is much better.
-To sum up a little From new signings,Gilberto Silva,Rodrigo Souza and Cleyton Silva won't play surely.Gilberto is not ready,Rodrigo Souza comes tomorrow in Athens and Cleyton Silva is out of squad for the match against Dinamo Tblisi.These absences are not important at this time,because PAO has many players and this is the first official match for new season. According to Greek media : Galinovic - Gabriel,Sarriegi,Vyntra,Spyropoulos - Mattos,Simao - Ivanshitz,Karagounis,Ninis (Salpingidis) - Mantzios It's almost the same squad like friendly match vs Charleroi. About mentality now,i think that PAO won't stop in a low score,but will try to score many goals in this match.Ten Kate likes offensive football and PAO has show till now some signs of quick and attractive football. I will update when have latest news Info about Dinamo Tblisi are welcomed...
-EH (-2) @ 2.30 at Sportingbet seems to worth the shot to me. The atmosphere is fantastic for PAO and i totally agree that with Ten Kate the players of PAO are 100% motivated in every game because no one's place in starting line-up is assured. For Dinamo, losing against Faroe team speaks of itself. I was reading a story from a reporter from Faroe saying that the Georgian team went to Faroe to play full defense and used 5-4-1 formation. They didn't achieved much though as Runavik created chances. So if Dinamo went with this mentality to Faroe i assume they 'll do the same against PAO and i think with the free kicks and the creativity of Matos, Rukavina and Karagkounis PAO won't have much of a problem
-Dinamo will loose definitely. I can`t see any other outcome. They are pretty weaker than Pana. In other case Dinamo had some matches and the form is more or less ok. Dinamo will miss 2 very imortant players: Merebashvili and Akiremy. All these circumstances states just one outcome Pana to win with several goal margine. Unfortunately this is the realty for Georgian side.
MY PICK Over 2.5 or 1
Serif Tiraspol - Sparta 3.56 3.18 1.89 30.07.2008 - 19:00
-Squad: Jaromír Blažek Tomáš Grigar Matúš Kozáčik Tomáš Řepka Marián Had Štěpán Kučera Michal Kadlec Petr Voříšek Patrik Berger Jiří Kladrubský Luboš Hušek Ondřej Kušnír Kamil Vacek Miroslav Matušovič Daniel Kolář Libor Došek Miroslav Slepička Jan Holenda Jiří Jeslínek 1st goalie Blazek is injured I think, Sparta is in poor form actually, dont see good value..sparta will be satisfied with a draw in this away match...
-Sparta for 1,90 is never an attractive bet. It is not easy to play in Moldova, I expect a cautios game (under very probable) and if I see home team +0,5 1,90+, I will definitely give it a shot. Sheriff played decent games against Besiktas last year, Sparta doesnt look in a good form on the beginning of the season and has problems with scoring goals. Under is very reasonable, home team not to lose pretty likely to happen. Draw will be satisfying for Sparta for sure.
MY PICK over or 1x
Anorthosis - Rapid 2.62 2.99 2.15 30.07.2008 - 20:30
-I could make the odds more equal and with small favourite Anorthosis which play at home and needs the result. Rapid can be happy with a narrow loss if they score a goal. Dellas and Solano signed for Anorthosis, Dellas is available to play.
-I agree with both views expressed for this game. Odds are placed totally wrong and i think the market will correct itself until the game. So any odds giving Anorthosis as outsiders are valuable. I see a tight game here. I don't know much about Rapid but i think in this game it matters the most how Anorthosis wants this game to go. And throughout the experience we have with Ketsbaia in charge, Anorthosis wants a clean sheet. That's what it matters the most to them. It is even more important than winning. Rapid will be happy not to lose this one...so they will play conservative too. I also expect the humidity which is really high at this time of year in Larnaca (Around 60% at nights) to play an important role. About Ano's transfers...Dellas signed and has made 4-5 trainings with Anorthosis. He had a full preparation with AEK and is up to Ketsbaia to use him. About Solano, he hasn't even arrived in Cyprus so there is nothing to talk about him. Although early...under 8/10 and HW 5/10 are my views for this game
MY PICK 1
FC Vaslui - Steaua
-FC Vaslui is a team with poor defense ...a team with players that move very slowly . Steaua will not receive any goal in this match because in defense is very strong with national team players like : Mirel Radoi , Dorin Goian , Sorin Ghionea , Pawel Golansky . Steaua has humiliated Rome whit 3-1 , The score had to be 5-0 for Steaua because they had many occassions to mark with Roma who played with players : Cicinho , Riise , Aquilani , Taddei , Perrotta , Vucinic , Pannucci , Pizzaro ... Steaua will win and Under 2.5 , the score will be 0-1 0-2 I'm very sure
MY PICK 2
Botafogo - Goias 19 1.54 3.50 5.40 31.07.2008 - 01:30
-Goias is an interesting team.Playin ugly football,makin defence with 8 men and tryin with counter attacks.
MY PICK x2
Portuguesa - Fluminense 19 2.18 3.16 2.84 31.07.2008 - 01:30
-About Fluminense...Their defence is a joke. Washington is in great form .. He has scored 3 goals in last two weeks. I expect over 2.5 there..But I am still waiting for confirmed line ups. And Cut We can trust Sao after Miranda,Silva,Hernanes and Borges comes back..
MY PICK 3+
Vasco - Atletico-MG 1 1.90 3.15 3.70 31.07.2008 - 23:55
-About Vasco: they have a poor defense. The rest is not so bad. But things are pretty dark for them. After many many years, former Vasco dictator, rogue and corrupt Eurico Miranda was ousted. He left the club broken. The only source of income until the end of the year are the attendances, which do not cover their liabilities
MY PICK 2
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